Applied Reliability and Risk Research
 
Copyright © 2022 by Fatemeh Jalayer  
Dr. Hossein Ebrahimian
Postdoctoral Scholar
email: ebrahimian.hossein[at]unina.it
Non-linear Dynamic Procedures
Time-dependent Seismic Hazard and Risk Assessment
Probabilistic Life cycle cost assessment
 
RESEARCH INTERESTS
 
Sesimic performance of existing RC structures
This line of research deals with the issues and challenges specific to the assessment of existing RC structures. Example of publications in this line of research include:


Miano A, Jalayer F, Ebrahimian H, Prota A. Cloud to IDA: Efficient fragilityassessment with limited scaling. Earthquake Engng Struct Dyn. 2017;1–24.https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.300924 MIANO ET AL.

Jalayer F., Ebrahimian H., Miano A., Manfredi G., Sezen H. Analytical fragility assessment using unscaled ground motion records. Earthquake Engng Struct Dyn. 2017;0:1–25. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.2922 (in press).

Jalayer F., De Risi R., Manfredi G. Bayesian Cloud Analysis: efficient structural fragility assessment using linear regression. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 13(4), pp.1183-1203 (2015).

Jalayer F., Elefante L., Iervolino I., Manfredi G. Knowledge-based Performance Assessment of Existing RC Buildings, Journal of Earthquake Engineering, 15 (3) , pp. 362-389 (2011).

Jalayer F., Iervolino I., Manfredi G. Structural modeling uncertainties and their influence on seismic assessment of existing RC structures, Structural Safety, 32(3), pp. 220-228 (2010).

Jalayer F., Franchin P., Pinto P.E. A scalar decision variable for seismic reliability analysis of RC frames, Special issue of Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics on Structural Reliability, 36(13): pp. 2050-2079 (2007).

Lignola G.P., Jalayer F., Nardone F., Prota A., Manfredi G. Probabilistic design equations for the shear capacity of RC members with FRP internal shear reinforcement. Composites Part B: Engineering, 67, pp.199-208 (2014).


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Alternative non-linear dynamic analysis procedures and their implementation in performan-based earthquake engineering
This line of research looks into alternative non-linear time-history analsyis methods and their implementation into a performance-based assessment framework.


Miano A, Jalayer F, Ebrahimian H, Prota A. Cloud to IDA: Efficient fragilityassessment with limited scaling. Earthquake Engng Struct Dyn. 2017;1–24.https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.300924 MIANO ET AL.

Jalayer F., Ebrahimian H., Miano A., Manfredi G., Sezen H. Analytical fragility assessment using unscaled ground motion records. Earthquake Engng Struct Dyn. 2017;0:1–25. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.2922 (in press).

Jalayer F., De Risi R., Manfredi G. Bayesian Cloud Analysis: efficient structural fragility assessment using linear regression. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 13(4), pp.1183-1203 (2015).

Elefante L., Jalayer F., Iervolino I., Manfredi G., Disaggregation-based response weighting scheme for seismic risk assessment of structures, Soil Dynamics and  Earthquake Engineering, 30(12), pp. 1513-1527 (2010).

Jalayer F. and Cornell C.A. Alternative nonlinear demand estimation methods for probability-based seismic assessments, Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 38, pp. 951-972 (2009).

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Safety-checking of Structures
This line of research looks into the issues related to safety checking and reliability analysis of the structures. Here are some publications related to this line of research:


Castaldo P., Jalayer F., Palazzo B. Probabilistic assessment of groundwater leakage in diaphragm wall joints for deep excavations. Tunnelling and Underground Space TechnologyVolume 71, January 2018, Pages 531–543.

Jalayer F., Carozza S., De Risi R., Manfredi G., Mbuya E. Performance-based flood safety-checking for non-engineered masonry structures. Engineering Structures, 106, pp.109-123 (2016).

Jalayer F., Franchin P., Pinto P.E. A scalar decision variable for seismic reliability analysis of RC frames, Special issue of Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics on Structural Reliability, 36(13): pp. 2050-2079 (2007).

Jalayer F. and Cornell C.A. Alternative nonlinear demand estimation methods for probability-based seismic assessments, Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 38, pp. 951-972 (2009).

Cornell C.A., Jalayer F., Hamburger R.O., Foutch D.A. The probabilistic basis for the 2000 SAC/FEMA steel moment frame guidelines, ASCE Journal of Structural Engineering, 128(4), pp. 526-533 (2002).

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Research Interests:

Probabilistic tsunami risk

Multi-hazard risk analysis for geo-resource exploitation

Safety-checking of Structures

Sesimic performance of existing RC structures

Aftershocks: forecasting and cumulative damage

Alternative non-linear dynamic analysis procedures in a performance-based framework

Economic losses and life cycle cost assessment

Sesimic ground motion represention, records and  intensity measures

Impact of rainfall-induced (hydrogeological) phenomena on the
built environment

Progressive structural collapse

Aftershocks: forecasting and cumulative damage
This line of research looks into the issues related to aftershock forecasting, hazard assessment and the cumulative damage due to aftershocks.

Ebrahimian H., Jalayer F. Robust seismicity forecasting based on Bayesian parameter estimation for epidemiological spatio-temporal aftershock clustering models. Scientific Reports,7; 2017. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-09962-z (open access, published online).

Jalayer F. and Ebrahimian H. Seismic risk assessment considering cumulative damage due to aftershocks. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 46(3), March 2017, Pages: 369–389.

Ebrahimian H., Jalayer F., Asprone D., Lombardi A.M., Marzocchi W., Prota A., Manfredi G. A performance‐based framework for adaptive seismic aftershock risk assessment. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 43(14), pp.2179-2197 (2014).

Ebrahimian H., Jalayer F., Asprone D., Marzocchi W., Lombardi A.M., Prota A., Manfedi G. Adaptive Daily Forecasting of Seismic Aftershock Hazard, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(1), pp. 145-161 (2014).

Jalayer F., Asprone D., Prota A., Manfredi G. A decision support system for post-earthquake reliability assessment of structures subjected to after-shocks: an application to L'Aquila earthquake, 2009, Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 9 (4) , pp. 997-1014 (2011).

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Impact of rainfall-induced (hydrogeological) phenomena on the built environment
This line of research provides a probabilistic perspective into the impact of rainfall-induced phenomena on the built environment.

De Risi R., Jalayer F., De Paola F., Lindley S. Delineation of flooding risk hotspots based on digital elevation model, calculated and historical flooding extents: the case of Ouagadougou.Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 2017; https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00477-017-1450-8(open access, published online).

Jalayer F., Aronica G.T., Recupero A., Carozza S., Manfredi G. Debris Flow Damage Incurred to Buildings: An In-Situ Back Analysis, Early view, Journal of Flood Risk Management (in press).

Jalayer F., Carozza S., De Risi R., Manfredi G., Mbuya E. Performance-based flood safety-checking for non-engineered masonry structures. Engineering Structures, 106, pp.109-123 (2016).

Herslund L.B., Jalayer F., Jean-Baptiste N., Jørgensen G., Kabisch S., Kombe W., Lindley S., Nyed P.K., Pauleit S., Printz A., Vedeld T. A multi-dimensional assessment of urban vulnerability to climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa. Natural Hazards, Volume 82, 1 June 2016, Pages 149-172, (2016).

De Risi R., Jalayer F., De Paola F. Meso-scale hazard zoning of potentially flood prone areas. Journal of Hydrology, 527, pp.316-325 (2015).

De Risi R., Jalayer F., De Paola F., Giugni M. Probabilistic delineation of flood-prone areas based on a digital elevation model and the extent of historical flooding: The case of Ouagadougou. Boletín Geológico Minero, 125, pp.329-340 (2014).

Cavan G., Lindley S., Jalayer F., Yeshitela K., Pauleit S., Renner F., Gill S., Capuano P., Nebebe A., Woldegerima T., Kibassa D., Shemdoe R. Urban morphological determinants of temperature regulating ecosystem services in two African cities, Ecological Indicators, Volume 42, pp.43-57 (2014).

Jalayer F., De Risi R., De Paola F., Giugni M., Manfredi G., Gasparini P., Topa M.E., Yonas N., Yeshitela K., Nebebe A., Cavan G. Probabilistic GIS-based method for delineation of urban flooding risk hotspots. Natural hazards, 73(2), pp.975-1001 (2014).

De Risi R., Jalayer F., DePaola F., Iervolino I., Giugni M., Topa M. E., Mbuya E., Kyessi A., Manfredi G., Gasparini P. Flood Risk Assessment for Informal Settlements, Natural Hazards, 69(1), pp. 1003:1032 (2013).

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Sesimic ground motion represention, records and  intensity measures
This line of research delves into issues related to the alternative representations of the ground motion, record selection and suitable choice of intensity measures. Selected journal publications in this line are:

Ebrahimian H., Jalayer F., Lucchini A., Mollaioli F., Manfredi G. Preliminary ranking of alternative scalar and vector intensity measures of ground shaking. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 13(10), pp.2805-2840 (2015).

Jalayer F., Beck J.L., Zareian F. Analyzing the Sufficiency of Intensity Measures of Ground Shaking Based on Information Theory, Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 138(3) , pp. 307-316 (2012).

Jalayer F. and Beck J.L. Effect of the alternative representations of ground motion uncertainty on seismic risk assessment of structures, Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 37(1), pp. 61-79 (2008).

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Economic losses and life cycle assessment
This line of research delves into issues related to the evaluation of the economic losses in the aftermath of the eathquakes and life cycle cost assessment for the structures and infrastructures.

Bozza, A., Asprone, D., Jalayer, F. and Manfredi, G., National-level prediction of expected seismic loss based on historical catalogue. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, pp.1-25 (in press).

Miano A., Jalayer F., De Risi R., Prota A., Manfredi, G. Model updating and seismic loss assessment for a portfolio of bridges. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 14(3), pp. 699-719 (2016).

Asprone D., Jalayer F., Simonelli S., Acconcia A., Prota A., Manfredi G. Sesimic insurance model for the Italian residential building stock. Structural Safety, 44, pp. 70-79 (2013).

Menna C., Asprone D., Jalayer F., Prota A., Manfredi G. Assessment of ecological sustainability of a building subjected to potential seismic events during its lifetime, International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 18(2), pp. 504-515 (2013).

Jalayer F., Asprone D., Prota A., Manfredi G. Multi-Hazard Upgrade Decision-Making for Critical Infrastructure based on Life Cycle Cost Criteria, Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 40 (10) , pp. 1163-1179 (2011).

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Progressive structural collapse
This line of research delves into issues related to the evaluation of the progressive collapse in a structure by means of plastic limit analysis.

Nigro E., Bilotta A., Asprone D., Jalayer F., Prota A., Manfredi G. Probabilistic approach for failure assessment of steel structures in fire by means of plastic limit analysis. Fire Safety Journal, 68, pp.16-29 (2014).

Asprone D., Jalayer F., Prota A., Manfredi G. Performance of different seismic retrofitting techniques in case of blast-induced progressive collapse. Applied Mechanics and Materials, 82 , pp. 485-490 (2011).

Asprone D., Jalayer F., Prota A., Manfredi G. Proposal of a probabilistic model for multi-hazard risk assessment of structures in seismic zones subjected to blast for the limit state of collapse, Structural Safety, 32, pp. 25-34 (2010).

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Probabilistic Tsunami Risk
This line of research looks into the issues related to undestanding tsunami risk and its management. Here are some publications related to this line of research:

Rafliana, I., Jalayer, F., Cerase, A., Cugliari, L., Baiguera, M., Salmanidou, D., ... & Hancilar, U. (2022). Tsunami risk communication and management: Contemporary gaps and challenges. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 102771, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102771

Behrens, Jörn, Finn Løvholt, Fatemeh Jalayer, Stefano Lorito, Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez, Mathilde Sørensen, Stephane Abadie et al. “Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps.” Frontiers in Earth Science 9 (2021): 114. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.628772

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Multi-hazard risk analysis for geo-resource exploitation
This line of research looks into the mulri-hazard risk assessment for anthropogenic activitities related to geo resources exploitation. Here are some publications related to this line of research:

Convertito, V., Ebrahimian, H., Amoroso, O., Jalayer, F., De Matteis, R., & Capuano, P. (2021). Time-Dependent Seismic Hazard Analysis for Induced Seismicity: The Case of St Gallen (Switzerland), Geothermal Field. Energies, 14(10), 2747.  https://doi.org/10.3390/en14102747

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